Broad selloff sends PSEi plunging nearly 3% on peso weakness and inflation fears (Mar 03, 2026)

PSEi closed at 6,426.83, down 2.79%, driven by heavy net foreign selling of -P11.52M. The Services sector fell 4.11%, with AC and ICT among top losers. See more on focus stocks AGI, ICT, PNB in our report.

Broad selloff sends PSEi plunging nearly 3% on peso weakness and inflation fears (Mar 03, 2026)

Market Snapshot

-2.79%
6,426.83
PSEi Composite
53 / 159
Gainers / Decliners
common and pref
-11.52M
Net Foreign Flow
common and pref
PSEi Components Breadth
33.33%
Above 20D SMA
53.33%
Above 50D SMA
46.67%
Above 200D SMA
Market Turnover Today
1,192,563,123
Total Volume
common and pref
9,124,621,757
Total Value
common and pref
53
Advances
159
Declines
52
Unchanged

Market & Dividend Calendar

Market & Dividend Calendar

Sources: Investing.com, PSE Edge

Broad selloff sends PSEi plunging nearly 3% on peso weakness and inflation fears

Local stocks extended losses on Tuesday, with the PSEi shedding 2.79% to close at 6,426.83. Mining And Oil was the only sector in positive territory, up 0.1%, amidst a negative market breadth of 53 gainers versus 159 decliners and a net foreign outflow of -11.52M. The Philippine peso concluded the session at 58.12 against the US dollar.

Index and Sectors

🏦
Banks and Financials
2,129.64
-1.78%
🏭
Industrial
9,228.59
-2.33%
⛏️
Mining And Oil
19,943.29
+0.1%
🏢
Property
2,176.56
-0.83%
🏛️
Holding Firms
5,076.53
-2.74%
📡
Services
2,732.86
-4.11%

PSEi 1-Year Chart

The PSEi is in a short-term downtrend/pullback, with price at 6,426.83 trading below the 10d SMA (6,495.55) and 20d SMA (6,448.94). However, the medium-term trend remains upward, as price is above the rising 50d SMA (6,328.32), and the 20d SMA (6,448.94) is still above the 50d SMA. The RSI is at 49.89, below 50 and its 20-day MA (59.32), with both the RSI and RSI-MA clearly sloping down.

Bull Case
Break above 6,450 (20d SMA) and sustained move above 6,500 targets 6,650-6,700 within 2-4 weeks.
Base Case
Consolidation or range-bound action is expected between 6,328 (50d SMA) and 6,450 (20d SMA) as the market digests the recent decline.
Bear Case
Loss of 6,328 (50d SMA) support opens a path to 6,220 (100d SMA) and subsequently 6,150.
PSEi 1-Year Chart

PSE Heatmap

PSE Heatmap
Decliners significantly outpaced advancers, reflecting broad negative performance concentrated across most sectors, particularly Holding Firms and Services, though Mining And Oil showed some positive clustering. Large cap stocks like AC recorded a -6.17% decline and ICT fell by -5.29%, while PCOR notably advanced +9.61%.

Daily Movers

📈 Top Gainers
SEVN
SEVN
14.52M
+5.15%
PLUS
PLUS
375.27M
+3.73%
LC
LC
11.79M
+3.26%
📉 Top Losers
AC
AC
288.94M
-6.17%
DNL
DNL
28.19M
-5.62%
ICT
ICT
2.08B
-5.29%
🌍 Net Foreign Buying
MYNLD
MYNLD
₱21.50
₱378.09M
Net Buy
AC
AC
₱563.00
₱263.77M
Net Buy
APX
APX
₱17.80
₱165.22M
Net Buy
🌍 Net Foreign Selling
AREIT
AREIT
₱41.90
₱-216.08M
Net Sell
BPI
BPI
₱115.00
₱-180.96M
Net Sell
MWC
MWC
₱41.20
₱-164.43M
Net Sell
🔥 Top Actively Traded
ICT
ICT
₱680.00
2.08B
Value
BDO
BDO
₱134.10
419.46M
Value
PLUS
PLUS
₱16.70
375.27M
Value
💎 Top Undervalued
RCR
RCR
₱7.40
+0.17%
Upside
PLUS
PLUS
₱16.70
+0.20%
Upside
AC
AC
₱563.00
+0.20%
Upside

Highly Viewed Disclosures

Global Markets & Macro

Global Equities

Global Equities Retreat as Oil Shock Revives Inflation Fears, VIX Surges

Global equities broadly retreated as an oil shock revived inflation fears, pushing the VIX up 7.96% to 21.44. Germany's DAX plunged 2.56%, leading widespread European and Asian declines, including Thailand's 4.04% drop and the Hang Seng's 2.14% fall. US markets showed divergence; while the Russell 2000 gained 0.90%, the Dow Jones slipped 0.15%, with the Nasdaq 100 and S&P500 ending barely positive.

Commodities

Crude Oil Jumps Over 5% on Supply Concerns; Aluminum Rises, Copper Retreats

WTI crude surged 5.37% to US$70.62/bbl, fueled by US-Israel strikes on Iran that revived global inflation fears and supply squeeze concerns for economies like China. Natural Gas also climbed 4.30% to US$2.98/MMBtu. Industrial bellwether Aluminum rallied 3.23% to US$3,142.50/mt, while Copper slipped 0.62% to US$5.97/lb, indicating diverging global industrial demand.

Precious Metals

Gold Surges Past $5,300/oz as Silver Retreats Sharply

Gold surged 2.20% to US$5,345.60/oz, adding US$115.10, indicating a strong specific bid for the precious metal. In contrast, Silver diverged significantly, retreating 3.06% or US$2.84 to settle at US$89.85/oz. This sharp divergence suggests gold's rally is primarily driven by safe-haven demand or evolving real rate expectations, rather than broad-based commodity strength or industrial demand.

Global Indices & Commodities

Nasdaq 100
US$24,992.60
0.13%
S&P500
US$6,881.62
0.04%
Dow Jones
US$48,904.78
-0.15%
Nikkei
¥58,057.24
-1.35%
Russell 2000
US$2,655.94
0.90%
VIX
21.44
7.96%
Oil (WTI)
US$70.62/bbl
5.37%
Natural Gas (Henry Hub)
US$2.98/MMBtu
4.30%
Copper
US$5.97/lb
-0.62%
Aluminum
US$3,142.50/mt
3.23%
Gold
US$5,345.60/oz
2.20%
Silver
US$89.85/oz
-3.06%
Thailand
฿1,466.51
-4.04%
Vietnam
₫1,846.10
-1.82%
DAX (Germany)
€24,638.00
-2.56%
FTSE 100 (UK)
£10,780.11
-1.20%
Hang Seng (HK)
HK$26,059.85
-2.14%
💵
USD/PHP
Exchange Rate
58.12
TODAY
0.96%
WEEK
0.56%
YTD
0.39%
📊
Bond Yields
10-Year Treasury
PH 10Y
5.97%
0.04
US 10Y
3.98%
0.03
SPREAD
1.99
PSEi DIV YIELD
3.30%
Potential Effect in PH Equities
2 out of 3 US equity indices gained during the last session. Oil's significant surge will likely fuel local inflation expectations, while Gold's strong rally could provide a boost to the Philippine Mining & Oil sector. Despite an attractive local bond yield spread, the elevated USD/PHP at 58.12 may temper foreign capital inflows into the PSEi due to currency depreciation concerns. The PSEi is expected to open with a cautious to flat bias today.

Stocks in Focus

AGI
AGI
Holdings
₱8.76
1.86%
Support
8.70
Resistance
8.89
Upside
6.72%
YTD
-2.77%
ADVT
₱73.21M

Price at ₱8.76 maintains a short-term uptrend with the 10d SMA at ₱8.65 above the 20d SMA at ₱8.50, and holds a medium-term uptrend above its 50d SMA at ₱8.00. RSI(14) at 64.87 reflects bullish momentum, remaining above 50 and its 20-period moving average at 62.19, with the RSI-MA clearly rising despite the session's below-average RVol of 0.49. The stock is challenging minor resistance at ₱8.89, having bounced from immediate support at ₱8.70, suggesting a period of tight range consolidation. A break above ₱8.89 on increased volume could target the medium-term objective of ₱9.74, with invalidation below the 10d SMA at ₱8.65.

AGI Chart
ICT
ICT
Services
₱680.00
-5.29%
Support
679.00
Resistance
689.65
Upside
6.72%
YTD
20.04%
ADVT
₱1262.01M

Price at ₱680.00 trades in a short-term transition between the 10d SMA (₱689.6) and 20d SMA (₱675.8), though a medium-term uptrend persists with 20d SMA (₱675.8) above 50d SMA (₱631.5). RSI(14) at 53.29 signals bearish momentum, below its 20-period moving average of 60.26 with both lines clearly falling; strong red volume (3.06M) confirms selling. The -5.29% decline tested ₱679.00 support, extending the pullback and establishing resistance at ₱689.65. A breakdown below ₱679.00 invalidates a rebound; conversely, a hold targets ₱689.65, with the broader objective at ₱1,027.32.

ICT Chart
PNB
PNB
Financials
₱62.25
-3.04%
Support
61.90
Resistance
62.55
Upside
5.92%
YTD
14.43%
ADVT
₱33.77M

Price at ₱62.25 is in a short-term downtrend, below its 10d (₱63.85) and 20d (₱62.86) SMAs, yet holds a medium-term uptrend above the 50d SMA at ₱59.79. Momentum is bearish with RSI(14) at 49.54 sitting below its clearly down-sloping RSI-MA(20) at 57.58, accompanied by below-average red volume (0.77 RVol) from the 3.04% decline. The 3.04% daily decline sees price fail resistance at ₱62.55, breaking its 20d SMA at ₱62.86, and now approaching critical support at ₱61.90. A close below ₱61.90 support would indicate further downside, while a bounce could target R1 at ₱62.55, with the ₱71.00 medium-term target requiring a strong reversal.

PNB Chart
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SBX MVQL Model Portfolio

Portfolio Value
₱1,253,691.63
Total Gain/Loss
₱253,691.63
26.76%
Stock Ave Price Shares PnL
WEB ₱5.03 19,000 ₱130,438.63 (136.35%)
OGP ₱27.33 3,600 ₱43,450.61 (44.16%)
NIKL ₱3.69 25,000 ₱39,978.60 (43.33%)
PX ₱8.70 11,000 ₱35,688.66 (37.31%)
LC ₱0.17 500,000 ₱25,749.25 (30.20%)
... and 5 more holdings
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SBX Daily Brief | Tue | Mar 03, 2026
Author: Engr. Christian Benedict Silverio | SBX Research and Product Lead
Contact Us: research@seedbox.ph
Disclaimer
Seedbox Securities Inc. prepared this report using sources believed reliable, but makes no warranty on accuracy, completeness, or timeliness and is not liable for losses from its use. Seedbox, its directors, officers, analysts, or employees may hold positions in covered securities and trade them. Views and estimates reflect the analyst's judgment at publication and may change without notice. This is not investment advice or a solicitation to trade. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Investors should make independent decisions and seek professional advice. No part of this report may be reproduced without Seedbox's prior written consent.
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