Oil Shock, War Fears, Foreign Selloff, and USDPHP at All-time-high (P59.63/$)- PSEi Craters 4.97% (Mar 10, 2026)

PSEi closed at 6,006.22, falling 4.97% as net foreign selling reached P1.51B in the recent session. Holding Firms led declines, with CNPF and BLOOM among top losers.

Oil Shock, War Fears, Foreign Selloff, and USDPHP at All-time-high (P59.63/$)- PSEi Craters 4.97% (Mar 10, 2026)

Market Snapshot

-4.97%
6,006.22
PSEi Composite
28 / 205
Gainers / Decliners
common and pref
-1.51B
Net Foreign Flow
common and pref
PSEi Components Breadth
6.67%
Above 20D SMA
10.00%
Above 50D SMA
16.67%
Above 200D SMA
Market Turnover Today
2,538,310,583
Total Volume
common and pref
11,082,334,338
Total Value
common and pref
28
Advances
205
Declines
41
Unchanged

Market & Dividend Calendar

Market & Dividend Calendar

Sources: Investing.com, PSE Edge

Mideast War Fears and Skyrocketing Oil Send PSEi Tumbling 4.97% Amid Foreign Exodus

PSEi cracked below 6,000 and closes at 6,006.22, declining 4.97% in a single day driven by a 20% rise in Crude Oil and an all-time-weakness in the peso vs the dollar.

All sectors declined, with no sector showing relative strength. Market breadth showed majority of names are losers with 205 losers against only 28 gainers, we also experienced strong net foreign selling of 1.51 billion pesos which is also driven by the weakness in USDPHP (P59.63).

Index and Sectors

🏦
Banks and Financials
1,928.07
-4.77%
🏭
Industrial
8,634.66
-4.01%
⛏️
Mining And Oil
17,325.37
-4.77%
🏢
Property
2,020.16
-5.12%
🏛️
Holding Firms
4,624.42
-5.94%
📡
Services
2,701.62
-4.28%

PSEi 1-Year Chart

The PSEi has entered a short-term and medium-term downtrend, with price closing significantly below the 10d (6,429.71), 20d (6,429.17), 50d (6,354.63), 100d (6,148.34), and 200d (6,217.43) SMAs. The RSI is at 31.14, below 50 and below its 20-day MA (54.16), with both RSI and RSI-MA slopes clearly indicating a strong downward momentum.

Bull Case
A swift reclamation of the 100d SMA at 6,148.34 and 200d SMA at 6,217.43 could target a rebound towards the 50d SMA at 6,354.63 within 1-2 weeks.
Base Case
Consolidation or continued downside pressure is expected, likely seeing the index trade between 5,938 and 6,148 before a more sustained directional move is established.
Bear Case
A break below the recent swing low of 5,938.39 opens the potential for a deeper decline to the 5,800 level.
PSEi 1-Year Chart

PSE Heatmap

PSE Heatmap
Advancers were significantly outpaced by decliners, with 28 issues gaining against 205 losing ground. Large capitalization issues BDO (-3.84%), SM (-6.18%), and Bloomberry (BLOOM) with a notable -10.81% decline contributed to a broad market pullback. Sector performance displayed a strong concentration of negative movements across the board.

Daily Movers

📈 Top Gainers
PXP
PXP
14.64M
+9.80%
PCOR
PCOR
94.45M
+0.88%
SCC
SCC
75.11M
+-0.18%
📉 Top Losers
CNPF
CNPF
120.94M
-11.11%
BLOOM
BLOOM
148.08M
-10.81%
AEV
AEV
133.09M
-9.45%
🌍 Net Foreign Buying
WEB
WEB
₱10.36
₱28.56M
Net Buy
PGOLD
PGOLD
₱36.70
₱25.37M
Net Buy
JGS
JGS
₱25.25
₱24.78M
Net Buy
🌍 Net Foreign Selling
SM
SM
₱638.00
₱-277.19M
Net Sell
BPI
BPI
₱101.60
₱-222.55M
Net Sell
MBT
MBT
₱67.70
₱-204.06M
Net Sell
🔥 Top Actively Traded
ICT
ICT
₱687.50
1.40B
Value
BDO
BDO
₱120.20
881.19M
Value
MBT
MBT
₱67.70
723.64M
Value
💎 Top Undervalued
RCR
RCR
₱6.90
+0.16%
Upside
GTCAP
GTCAP
₱565.00
+0.18%
Upside
ALI
ALI
₱19.12
+0.18%
Upside

Highly Viewed Disclosures

Global Markets & Macro

Global Equities

US Equities Rally; War Fears, Inflation Pressures Drag Global Markets

US equities rallied strongly, led by the Nasdaq 100 surging 1.32% and S&P500 up 0.83%, while the VIX eased 13.53% to 25.50. Globally, markets retreated sharply as Iran war concerns elevated fuel prices. Vietnam plummeted 6.51% and the Nikkei sank 5.20%. European indices, like Germany's DAX down 0.77%, also fell on expectations for multiple ECB rate hikes to combat war-ignited inflation.

Commodities

Crude Oil Slipped Over 3%; Copper Surges, Easing PH Inflation Headwinds

WTI crude slipped 3.54% to US$87.68/bbl, easing immediate oil-driven inflation concerns for the BSP's rate path, despite broader geopolitical tensions. Natural Gas also fell 2.98% to US$3.09/MMBtu. Copper surged 2.39% to US$5.89/lb, signaling potential global industrial demand recovery. Aluminum retreated 0.83% to US$3,299.75/mt.

Precious Metals

Silver Surges Over 4%, Gold Posts Marginal Gain

Silver sharply advanced 4.51% to US$87.60/oz, leading the precious metals complex higher during the session. Gold also saw a modest uptick, gaining 0.06% to US$5,149.40/oz. Silver's significant outperformance against gold suggests specific underlying demand beyond general safe-haven flows, while gold's restrained move indicates mixed risk sentiment.

Global Indices & Commodities

Nasdaq 100
US$24,967.25
1.32%
S&P500
US$6,795.99
0.83%
Dow Jones
US$47,740.80
0.50%
Nikkei
¥52,728.72
-5.20%
Russell 2000
US$2,553.67
1.12%
VIX
25.50
-13.53%
Oil (WTI)
US$87.68/bbl
-3.54%
Natural Gas (Henry Hub)
US$3.09/MMBtu
-2.98%
Copper
US$5.89/lb
2.39%
Aluminum
US$3,299.75/mt
-0.83%
Gold
US$5,149.40/oz
0.06%
Silver
US$87.60/oz
4.51%
Thailand
฿1,382.97
-1.94%
Vietnam
₫1,652.79
-6.51%
DAX (Germany)
€23,409.37
-0.77%
FTSE 100 (UK)
£10,249.52
-0.34%
Hang Seng (HK)
HK$25,408.46
-1.35%
💵
USD/PHP
Exchange Rate
59.63
TODAY
1.15%
WEEK
2.15%
YTD
3.73%
📊
Bond Yields
10-Year Treasury
PH 10Y
6.72%
0.41
US 10Y
4.1%
-0.04
SPREAD
2.62
PSEi DIV YIELD
3.43%
Potential Effect in PH Equities
3 out of 3 US equity indices gained during the last session, setting a positive tone. Crude oil's significant drop may ease local inflation expectations, while gold's minimal rise has little direct impact on local mining sentiment. The attractive Philippine bond yield spread is tempered by the weakening peso (USD/PHP 59.63), potentially limiting foreign capital inflows into the PSEi. A mixed market outlook suggests a neutral opening for the PSEi today.

Stocks in Focus

AGI
AGI
Holdings
₱8.25
-3.06%
Support
8.13
Resistance
8.45
Upside
7.08%
YTD
-8.44%
ADVT
₱72.62M

Price closed at ₱8.25, falling below the 10d SMA (₱8.61) and 20d SMA (₱8.60) to test the 50d SMA (₱8.13), indicating a short-term downtrend and challenging the medium-term uptrend. RSI(14) sits at 45.44, below its 20-period moving average of 59.31, with both lines clearly sloping down, signaling bearish momentum on heavy selling volume at RVol 1.47. The 3.06% price decline brings AGI price action below the ₱8.45 resistance, now testing the critical ₱8.13 support, which coincides with the 50d SMA. Failure to hold the ₱8.13 support invalidates the medium-term uptrend, suggesting a move towards the 100d SMA at ₱7.59; a short entry is viable with an invalidation at ₱8.30.

AGI Chart
WEB
WEB
Services
₱10.36
-5.82%
Support
9.49
Resistance
10.71
Upside
12.86%
YTD
67.10%
ADVT
₱36.13M

Price at ₱10.36 trades in a short-term downtrend, sitting below both the 10-day SMA at ₱11.54 and 20-day SMA at ₱10.82, but maintains a medium-term uptrend with price above its 50-day SMA of ₱8.80. RSI(14) at 50.34 signals bearish momentum as it trades well below its RSI-MA(20) of 72.93, with both lines showing a clear declining slope, further confirmed by a large red volume bar and an RVol of 2.95. The recent sharp decline suggests a failure to hold above the R1 resistance at ₱10.71, with price currently extending its pullback towards the S1 support at ₱9.49. Traders could consider monitoring for signs of stabilization around ₱9.49 for a potential long entry, with an invalidation level if price closes below ₱9.00, targeting a recovery towards the medium-term target of ₱12.86.

WEB Chart
PNB
PNB
Financials
₱56.50
-4.96%
Support
56.24
Resistance
57.70
Upside
7.56%
YTD
3.86%
ADVT
₱35.59M

Price at ₱56.50 has entered a short-term downtrend, closing below the 10d SMA at ₱61.83 and 20d SMA at ₱62.38, also below the 50d SMA at ₱60.59. Bearish momentum is evident as RSI(14) reads 37.44, sitting below 50 and its falling RSI-MA at 52.32, with the 4.96% price drop occurring on 2.37 times average volume. The stock tests critical support at ₱56.24, converging with the 100d SMA, after failing to maintain position above resistance at ₱57.70. Monitor for a sustained bounce above ₱57.70 (R1) for stabilization; a breakdown below ₱56.24 (S1) suggests declines towards the 200d SMA at ₱55.73.

PNB Chart
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SBX MVQL Model Portfolio

Portfolio Value
₱1,143,691.63
Total Gain/Loss
₱143,691.63
15.16%
Stock Ave Price Shares PnL
WEB ₱5.03 19,000 ₱101,178.63 (105.77%)
OGP ₱27.33 3,600 ₱27,610.61 (28.06%)
PX ₱8.70 11,000 ₱24,248.66 (25.35%)
NIKL ₱3.69 25,000 ₱22,228.60 (24.09%)
APL ₱0.0091 10,000,000 -₱12,268.45 (-13.44%)
... and 5 more holdings
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SBX Daily Brief | Tue | Mar 10, 2026
Author: Engr. Christian Benedict Silverio | SBX Research and Product Lead
Contact Us: research@seedbox.ph
Disclaimer
Seedbox Securities Inc. prepared this report using sources believed reliable, but makes no warranty on accuracy, completeness, or timeliness and is not liable for losses from its use. Seedbox, its directors, officers, analysts, or employees may hold positions in covered securities and trade them. Views and estimates reflect the analyst's judgment at publication and may change without notice. This is not investment advice or a solicitation to trade. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Investors should make independent decisions and seek professional advice. No part of this report may be reproduced without Seedbox's prior written consent.
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